Statistics Examples

Determine if B and A are Independent/Dependent Events
P(A)=0.21P(A)=0.21 , P(B)=0.75P(B)=0.75 , P(BgivenA)=0.75P(BgivenA)=0.75
Step 1
Two events are independent events when the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other. P(A|B)=P(A)P(A|B)=P(A) and P(B|A)=P(B)P(B|A)=P(B).
P(A|B)=P(A)P(A|B)=P(A)
P(B|A)=P(B)P(B|A)=P(B)
Step 2
P(B|A)P(B|A) should equal to P(B)P(B) because the occurrence of AA should not effect the probability of BB for independent events AA and BB. In this case, P(B|A)=P(B)=0.75P(B|A)=P(B)=0.75.
P(B|A)=P(B)=0.75P(B|A)=P(B)=0.75
Step 3
Find P(A|B)P(A|B) using Bayes's rule.
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Step 3.1
Using the Bayes' rule, P(A|B)=P(B|A)P(A)P(B)P(A|B)=P(B|A)P(A)P(B).
P(A|B)=P(B|A)P(A)P(B)P(A|B)=P(B|A)P(A)P(B)
Step 3.2
Substitute the given values P(A)=0.21P(A)=0.21, P(B)=0.75P(B)=0.75, and P(B|A)=0.75P(B|A)=0.75 in Bayes' rule.
P(A|B)=(0.75)(0.21)0.75P(A|B)=(0.75)(0.21)0.75
Step 3.3
Cancel the common factor of 0.750.75.
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Step 3.3.1
Cancel the common factor.
P(A|B)=0.750.210.75
Step 3.3.2
Divide 0.21 by 1.
P(A|B)=0.21
P(A|B)=0.21
P(A|B)=0.21
Step 4
P(A|B) should equal to P(A) because the occurrence of B should not effect the probability of A for independent events A and B. In this case, P(A|B)=P(A)=0.21.
P(A|B)=P(A)=0.21
Step 5
P(A|B)=P(A) and P(B|A)=P(B), which means that A and B are independent events.
A and B are independent events
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